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Country UpdateVietnam flagVietnam

Vietnam economy grows 8.22% in third quarter

Vietnam's economy grew 8.22% in the third quarter of 2025. The growth occurred despite a 20% tariff imposed on Vietnamese exports to the United States.

By ASEAN Rising Newsroom5 August 2026

Vietnam Growth Persists Despite US Export Tariffs

An 8.22 percent expansion under a 20 percent US tariff burden demonstrates strong immediate resilience, but sustaining this momentum requires direct operational adaptation. Exporters and supply chain managers in Vietnam must absorb or offset these elevated trade costs through cost discipline, market diversification, or margin compression. The core challenge is maintaining industrial output without eroding business profitability over time.

Execution failure in tariff-heavy environments usually occurs when companies rely on short-term price cuts or temporary subsidies rather than structural efficiency gains. To evaluate the durability of this expansion, operators and policymakers must monitor whether trade volumes shift toward non-US markets and track whether domestic capital expenditure holds up against compressed profit margins.

For investment committees, this performance confirms underlying economic strength, but deal underwriting for export-dependent businesses must now explicitly price in a 20 percent tariff environment and prioritize operators with proven pricing power.

#Country Update